Re: Drones, Phones & More: What Tech Will Last A Century
You're right - trying to see everything through a hundred-year filter is extremely difficult, and makes even what seem like very easy calls quite difficult to wrap your head around. As you pointed out in the article, and as others have chimed in in the comments, criteria and definition of 'surviving' for a technology are very important considerations. Chief among them is whether modern smartphones even count as 'telephones' - by that same token, if we have flying cars, but we call them... well, 'flying cars', then can we still say that the 'car' has survived? Likewise, terms like 'Drone' and 'Computer' are very broad and misused already today - nevermind in the future - so it would be quite difficult to rule them 'extinct' in any circumstance,
That said, I definitely have to disagree with some of these. It's true that it's nearly impossible to imagine what the whole of society will look like in a hundred years, but I think saying cars will be gone for good is a little too sci-fi. Think about this; if they still have cars in the 2050s, someone who is born then and in their 60s by the 2110s (presumably humans will live longer by this time) will want to drive cars and not mess around with newfangled stuff. Same with clocks - good points about people's relationship with time changing already today (and I've definitely noticed it with millenials), but 'gone' is different from 'unpopular'. Certain sectors like financial will always have to rely on hard time-based rules, and after all, Big Ben will still be around, right? I do agree with Coffee could be replaced, though , and I got a laugh out of video conferencing. Definitely a very thought-provoking topic.